Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1160.340524 1309.686206 1473.006550 1665.201445 1885.612083 2130.969798 2425.470059
2026-01-04 934.069427 1136.606187 1377.263550 1685.757545 2072.791648 2544.992394 3168.850587
2026-01-11 805.033277 1029.855495 1312.276281 1695.997042 2208.195713 2874.535707 3817.155502
2026-01-18 712.973701 949.409368 1260.034999 1702.560663 2324.173680 3177.237044 4455.572569
2026-01-25 654.712567 902.708446 1241.505460 1744.714726 2484.320250 3549.090301 5230.199799
2026-02-01 604.120886 858.820401 1218.978469 1774.120469 2623.861378 3901.302344 6016.688749
2026-02-08 558.561013 816.069393 1191.640601 1790.271746 2741.084792 4228.386866 6802.500073
2026-02-15 520.742941 780.151963 1169.426221 1809.473216 2861.733435 4570.310599 7653.786615
2026-02-22 491.809760 754.397096 1159.168701 1844.603125 3009.201308 4969.257105 8653.045489
2026-03-01 449.499240 703.578523 1104.380906 1800.601375 3017.862022 5131.844831 9249.548931
2026-03-08 409.431774 652.762168 1044.776857 1741.818247 2993.071802 5230.187562 9735.548646
2026-03-15 374.456732 607.345013 990.004750 1685.513620 2965.502142 5318.052568 10209.397820
2026-03-22 362.759032 600.397232 1000.054221 1745.624411 3159.105832 5844.453573 11646.927184
2026-03-29 345.859301 583.190166 990.997528 1770.381267 3289.472996 6266.517151 12937.769627
2026-04-05 328.368598 563.401130 975.452716 1781.028866 3392.776284 6645.936802 14194.123812
2026-04-12 311.932811 544.108401 959.011308 1787.967229 3488.703533 7020.695762 15498.061162
2026-04-19 302.027814 535.819143 961.899523 1832.476078 3665.755667 7587.771989 17341.771119
2026-04-26 291.074024 524.674612 958.372823 1863.528615 3817.500041 8118.246600 19186.781499
2026-05-03 279.216858 510.887888 948.577343 1880.585700 3940.486835 8599.100573 20989.794056
2026-05-10 268.601580 498.666021 940.775654 1900.865241 4072.516814 9117.219912 22980.868964
2026-05-17 260.543279 490.809775 940.931919 1937.970853 4246.687087 9758.041878 25420.180098
2026-05-24 244.369060 465.720521 904.357624 1891.495128 4220.789730 9905.141402 26504.883436
2026-05-31 227.886415 438.939690 862.419206 1829.417582 4151.133641 9933.520304 27252.130978